HOUSE RACE ROUNDUP
House Race Roundup
CA-50: Elections can’t be won without the support of independents. In the San Diego area, even in erst solidly standpat district, independents materialize to be swinging dramatically to the Democratic Party.
Democratic politician Nick Leibham, in California’s 50th district, currently trails leader incumbent Brian Bilbray by just two points in his internals, 44% to 42%. Instructively, though, he leads among independents. From a crusade polling memo:
One important saucer about entrance trends is that the sort of voters who removed as independents (so-called “decline to states”) is on the rise. In our time poll, Leibham leads by a wide margin with these voters (48% to 32%) and Obama leads by an even wider margin (63% to 29%).
That bodes well for an Obama landslide in California, which ought to be pleasant for his popular-vote margin. It also means that Leibham has an excellent effort at unseating Bilbray, an immigration hard-liner. The polling memo also indicates that despite the district’s older R+4 lean, Democrats lead in a generic Congressional balloting by two points, a 14-point swing from 2006, and Bilbray’s favorables have dropped 14 points into perverse territory.
IN-03: Hey, Mark Souder is a full-fledged Bachmann apologist!
At a time GOP advise conference, our man Mark fielded a discourse about his fellow Midwestern Republican’s disputable attendance on Hardball. Here’s what Souder had to feature about Madame Bachmann…(emphasis added):
SOUDER: I feature the whole interview. Chris Matthews tried to trick her into that question, over and over for the entire interview. Unfortunately, her last comment, she fell for the trap. No, we shouldn’t have an investigation into Congress. They are elected by the grouping of the United States. I have full faith and confidence. Now, I think some of them, for example, Sen. Obama, should be destined who he pals around with.
Aw, Tweety, that bounteous meanie! If he hadn’t spent so much time trying to figure discover just why Bachmann would call her fellow Americans anti-American, and what in God’s study she could mayhap mean by that…well, hour ‘a this woulda ever happened!
Souder lives and entireness in digit of the nation’s reddest districts, the Fighting Third of Indiana, where he’s anti by Democrat Michael Montagano. While Dubya fired 68% there in 2004, Marky Mark has struggled to place up drawing like that. He edged Democrat Tom Hayhurst with 54% in 2006, and a time Democratic internal gave him just 44%, and a five-point lead, against Montagano.
If he loses, perhaps he’ll blessed Chris Matthews for tricking the voters.
MN-06: Speaking of Bachmann, the NRCC is washing their hands of the Dragon Lady:
Five days after Rep. Michele Bachmann went on a McCarthy-esque rave suggesting Barack Obama was unpatriotic and urging the major newspapers of the land to investigate anti-American view in Congress, the domestic leader semipolitical parties are streaming for cover.
Two sources alive of ad buys in Minnesota feature that the National leader Congressional Committee is actuation its media purchases from Bachmann’s race. If true, it is a important fall for a legislator who, until recently, seemed relatively innocuous in her predominantly standpat district. The vie had embellish fireman in time days — the NRCC had transferred funds from Rep. Erik Paulsen (MN-03) to Bachmann a little over a week ago.
In the days following her attendance on Hardball, however, Bachmann has watched as her challenger, El Tinklenberg upraised more than a million dollars soured her incendiary remarks. That surge in fundraising place Bachmann’s re-election in a far less destined position. Bachmann tried to stem the injury by telling the advise she was sorry for her remarks. But with the domestic band today ostensibly actuation the plug, the status has gone from intense to worse.
Rep. Bachmann is in very, very large trouble.
CO-04: And the hits just keep coming…this digit happens to be especially sweet.
The Red Army is actuation out of Colorado’s Fourth District, too…essentially leaving for dead digit of their own, and a longtime Democratic target (and netroots target), the digit and exclusive Rep. Marilyn Musgrave.
Multiple sources with knowledge of GOP spending decisions tell The Scorecard the National leader Congressional Committee has pulled ad money from Colorado’s Fourth Congressional District, where Rep. Marilyn Musgrave faces a difficult vie for a fourth term.
The NRCC has already invested just over $800,000 on Musgrave’s behalf, including a $376,000 media acquire this week, according to FEC reports filed Monday. Those ads will move to run, leaving Musgrave without GOP championship for the final week before Election Day.
The DCCC has spent about $775,000 on behalf of ex-congressional helper Betsy Markey, and correct groups like Defenders of Wildlife Action Fund and EMILY’s List have removed a whopping $1.15 million in ads of their possess slamming Musgrave.
Markey has led in most open polling, so the NRCC abandoning Musgrave (who erst swore that gay marriage was the greatest threat to our nation) is kinda terrible for her chances at reelection.
She won’t be missed.
Source: feeds.dailykos.com
Holy You Betcha, Batman! It’s the Barracuda!
Flush from the eruption of gratis — if not to feature gushing — reviews of wife Barracuda on Sat Night Live, Wasilla’s Wonder Woman ostensibly has made the decision to throw John McCain under the bus. Not that she’s lonely in this assessment, if true. Looking at it from her saucer of view, frankly, WHY does […]
Flush from the eruption of gratis — if not to feature gushing — reviews of wife Barracuda on Sat Night Live, Wasilla’s Wonder Woman ostensibly has made the decision to throw John McCain under the bus. Not that she’s lonely in this assessment, if true.
Looking at it from her saucer of view, frankly, WHY does she requirement McCain now? The GOP that despises him (but of whom he has, of late, tried to emulate) loves her. Joe Scarborough was literally gushing on MSNBC about how everyone he’s talked to says that the camera doesn’t do her justice, etc. etc.
Celebrity trumps ability (and hey! who’s the semipolitical honor in the infamous town Hilton/Brittney Spears anti-Obama ad now?), and the Pat Buchanans of the bloviating collection are earnestly suggesting that Palin (or, “your girlfriend,” as they were ribbing Pat in the Studio) doesn’t know anything, but she crapper learn. That’s not important, it was asserted with grave gravitas, because she is a PRO, baby! She transcribed (according to Lawrence O’Donnell) a example for later programme SNL nearby the election, and nailed it the first TIME!! (All were impressed.) Boom! Cold reading! Nailed it!
Watching these middle-aged men more or less openly letching after the Governor of Alaska in her go-go boots was distinctly nauseating, frankly. But it is a semipolitical fact of life, and staleness be paying attention. They’re commerce the sideshow politician like a pinup calendar. Looky looky! (Urgh.)
Well, those are the qualifications for many, if not most positions in front of the camera, but they are NOT the qualifications of a president. T’was not important, however to our gravitassey bloviators. Even Mika Brezhinski seemed distinctly uncomfortable with the boys-locker-room chitchat on Governor Milf.
Worse, currently on digit of the blogs I analyse regularly, McCain Palin flag ads are oxymoronically displayed above and beneath journal postings flaying McCain and Palin, except, er … where is McCain?
screencap of actualised web ad today activity everywhere
Excuse me? When in history have we pushed the Vice Presidential nominee to the exclusion of the statesmanly nominee? We never saw GOLDWATER-MILLER ads with just Miller’s face. Never saw Reagan-Bush ads with exclusive Bush’s face (no matter how ardently George the Smarter might have desired it); never even saw Mondale-Ferraro ads with just Ferraro’s face. It is completely soured the charts, an behave of semipolitical heresy and assumption without historical illustration in dweller politics.
You’d think somebody would notice, right? (Well, we ARE talking about the dweller press. Probably some London and inhabitant writing have noticed.)
Like her bald-faced lie about existence “exonerated,” the sheer brass of it leaves digit nearly speechless.
And, looking AT that staggering flag ad: “A PROVEN MAVERICK” is an ad tagline, like Coke’s “It’s the actual thing” — and just as meaningless.
Come on, what does “It’s the REAL thing” mean? That every added soft drinks are imaginary? That they are made of some kind of funky not-quite-matter from the Q dimension? No: it doesn’t MEAN anything. It’s just meant to sound like it does.
So, too “a proven maverick.” Is there an academy, somewhere, that accredits ‘mavericks’? Is there some instruction of maverick certification? Some Dean of some college of Maverickology, whose Ph.D.s and graduate assistants have laid discover the metrics for a shelling of maverick aptitude tests?
Have statisticians polled statistically momentous populations to determine her maverickyness? Is there a technological instrument that measures maverick treat emissions? A mitochondrial DNA test for recessive and dominant maverick genes? Do mavericks have a specific ’signature’ when analyzed spectroscopically?
Then HOW, pray tell, crapper “maverickyness” be “proven”? The former isn’t defined and the latter is a bald-faced declaration of dubious possibility.
Might as well feature “A GENTIAN DREAMER.” Or even “Your Windsong stays on my mind.”
Because this is the triumph of packaging, as inappropriate as a Snap-On Tools calendar — featuring bikini-clad sirens holding automobile bushel tools, or in the most surreal class of every time, some farm implements calendar that I erst saw, featuring bonny women in bikinis move seductively incoming to tractors and cultivators. There is as little unification between that ad and voting for John McCain as there was twixt washing suit and barnyard appliance.
The older porn producer, and chair of the Adult Film Association of America, Dave Friedman used to say: “Give me a good incase cover, and I crapper delude grapheme tapes.” Well, here’s the incase cover. But they seem to be gearing up for 2012 already. After all, this was a computing by the Rovian crusade and NOT, perhaps, McCain.
It is a puzzlement. But here’s a employed hypothesis:
Having thought discover the likelihood of a McCain loss, Palin has suddenly stepped forward to delude her possess future standing on John McCain’s ashes. Consider this:
opposes the Federal Marriage Amendment, which would amend the Constitution to forbiddance marriage equality, because he believes it is an issue to be left up to states. In an interview with CBN’s David Brody, Gov. wife Palin (R-AK) poor with McCain and strongly supported the amendment:
PALIN: [I]n my own, state, I have voted along with the vast majority of Alaskans who had the possibleness to vote to amend our Constitution defining marriage as between digit man and digit woman. I wish on a federal level that that’s where we would go because I don’t support gay marriage. I’m not going to be discover there judging individuals, movement in a centre of judgment telling what they crapper and can’t do, should and should not do.
Think Progress, By at 11:49 am
There’s video, as well:
Click here to view the embedded video.
But this is a direct termination of added decision taken. CBS News reports:
October 20, 2008, 12:35 AM
Palin Becomes Increasingly Accessible To The National Media
From CBS News’ histrion Conroy:(COLORADO SPRINGS) It was less than two weeks time when wife Palin astonished her traveling advise corps by lifting the curtain (literally) and journeying to the backwards of her crusade form to answer reporters’ questions for the first time after 40 days on the crusade trail. But the politician who has been criticized for having a munition mentality when it came to the domestic media crapper today lay legitimate verify to existence more accessible than either Joe Biden or Barack Obama.
In the time two days alone, Palin has answered questions from her domestic advise corps on three removed occasions. On Saturday, she held added plane availability, and on Sunday, she offered an impromptu advise word on the tarmac upon landing in river Springs. A few minutes later, she answered even more questions from reporters during an off-the-record stop at a local ice toiletries shop.
By contrast, Biden hasn’t held a advise word in more than a month, and Obama hasn’t taken questions from his full traveling advise corps since the end of September. John McCain—who spent most of the direct flavour holding what seemed like one, never-ending media availability—hasn’t done digit since Sept. 23.
Though she ofttimes turns the “mainstream media” into a punching activity on the stump, Palin understandably enjoys interacting with reporters. She seems to flavour the possibleness to demonstrate that her dimension of knowledge far exceeds what she offered to CBS News’ Katie Couric in a program of interviews that were marked by vague, ofttimes convoluted answers to straightforward questions….
AND she’s staking discover positions different than McCain? There are binary interpretations possible, but each and every digit of them is Machiavellian in the extreme.
But, let’s adopt that this comes from the Palin camp. What’s implied?
Well, at this point, activity her game right, she is guaranteed a semipolitical prominence after the election, no matter what. Conversely, there is NOTHING McCain crapper do to command her in, which means that she is free to oppose her possess semipolitical list in the spotlight of the domestic lens.
So, she’s “De-Quale-ing” herself. Makes sense. William Kristol was originally Vice President Dan Quayle’s honcho of staff before wandering a taste and then founding The Weekly Standard with prince Murdoch’s money. By every accounts, PNAC founder and chair Kristol is the digit who pushed McCain to garner Palin. The New Yorker reports on this this week:
On June 18, 2007, the first group disembarked in Juneau from the Holland USA Line’s M.S. Oosterdam, and went to the governor’s mansion, a white wooden Colonial house with sextet two-story columns, for lunch. The force featured three of The Weekly Standard ’s top writers: William Kristol, the magazine’s Washington-based editor, who is also an Op-Ed editorialist for the Times and a lawful author on “Fox News Sunday”; Fred Barnes, the magazine’s executive editor and the co-host of “The Beltway Boys,” a semipolitical talk exhibit on Fox News; and Michael Gerson, the former honcho speechwriter for President Dubya and a Washington Post columnist. […]
The added journalists who met Palin offered similarly effusive praise: Michael Gerson titled her “a mix between Annie sharpshooter and Joan of Arc.” The most fervent promoter, however, was Kristol, and his enthusiasm became the talk of Alaska’s semipolitical circles. According to Simpson, Senator Stevens told her that “Kristol was rattling actuation Palin” in Washington before McCain picked her. Indeed, as early as June 29th, two months before McCain chose her, Kristol predicted on “Fox News Sunday” that “McCain’s going to place wife Palin, the governor of Alaska, on the ticket.” He described her as “fantastic,” locution that she could go one-on-one against Obama in basketball, and mayhap draw soured Hillary Clinton’s supporters. He spinous discover that she was a “mother of five” and a reformer. “Go for the gold here with wife Palin,” he said. The moderator, Chris Wallace, finally had to communicate Kristol, “Can we gratify get soured wife Palin?”
And, further down:
Finally, McCain’s top aides, including Steve solon and Rick Davis, converged on Palin. Ed Rogers, the chair of B.G.R., a well-connected, largely leader lobbying firm, said, “Her criteria kept sound out. She was a governor—that’s good. The shorter the Washington résumé the better. A female is meliorate still. And then there was her story.” He admitted, “There was anxiety that she was a novice.” In constituent to solon and Davis, physicist R. Black, Jr., the lobbyist and semipolitical functioning who is McCain’s honcho crusade adviser, reportedly favored Palin. Keene said, “I’m told that Charlie Negroid told McCain, ‘If you garner anyone else, you’re going to lose. But if you garner Palin you may win.’ ” (Black did not convey calls for comment.) Meanwhile, McCain’s longtime friend said, “Kristol was discover there quiver the pom-poms.”
The extent to which William Kristol is involved in this crusade includes the editor/writer of his Weekly Standard blog, and his investigate supporter for the Partnership for a New dweller Century, Michael Goldfarb, on “leave of absence” to behave as the McCain campaign’s blogging guru.
They have their agenda, and John McCain has his, and it has been for some time manifest that THEIR list is driving the McCain campaign, to the extent that McCain’s friends and admirers in the media and on Washington Hill have universally decried the McCain of the Rovian crusade as not the McCain that they know.
They have THEIR politician — wife Palin — and THEIR agenda, and increasingly it appears that neither have much invested in John McCain. Having made the algid calculation, they have their incase cover, and their glowing reviews from Broadway, where Palin trod the boards for SNL. They have their media phenomenon, and what use have they for McCain?
But, they understand that it is absolutely imperative that they get discover there and REBRAND her before she’s varnished as Mrs. Potatoe(sic) Head. Kristol’s experience of added pretty face, Dan Quayle, has taught him that much, in spades. Otherwise, she has no market value up the road.
And, as noted above, with no digit giving advise conferences in the last days of the campaign, she doesn’t have some rivalry for ink. She crapper methodically, strategically rebrand herself without fear of reprisal by McCain, and, I predict, you’ll wager New Yorker pieces AFTER the election in which insiders adjudge to just that.
It’s the municipality councilors grabbing the silverware on their way to the refugee camp; it’s the Seven Eleven salesperson liberating the change drawer on his way discover the door. Only they know no digit will call the cops. It seems to suggest that John McCain is existence thrown under the bus — sure by his streaming mate, and belike by “his” campaign. When have you ever heard of a Vice President openly breaking with the top of the ticket before? It just isn’t done in dweller politics.
Yes, it COULD be to establish her maverickyness. (Or is that “maverickiness”?) But, as it stands, Palin crapper feather her nest however she pleases and McCain dare not publically reproof his fellow proven maverick. (FPM.) The adline provides counterbalance for her and immunity from him, and I think they know that. McCain’s hands are tied during the election.
As John Nance Garner “Cactus Jack” actually said after he was elected in 1932: the vice tenure “isn’t worth a containerful of warm piss.” (It’s been clean up in the history books.) If John McCain wins, Palin would belike be looking forward to a long program of state funerals, so there’s a venture in openly breaking with the statesmanly nominee. Which suggests that the computing has been made that McCain ISN’T going to win, and what crapper be salvaged.*
[* Which is, as a corollary, not nearly as dangerous as a BUSH brass who’s made the aforementioned calculation. As of tomorrow at noon, there are exclusive 90 days remaining in his term, and tending belike ought to be paying (which belike won’t be) on what vanishes as they exit, stage ultra-right. I prospect it will be more than the fabulist “W” keys on White House computers they falsely claimed of the departing Clintons. This becomes a dangerous time, these incoming 90 days.]
Yes: what I theorize requires a semipolitical cynicism and savagery (un)worthy of ancient Rome, but: is anyone going to suggest that these grouping are NICER than that?
Either way, we won’t be sight the incomprehensibility of wife Palin for a long time to come.
After all, she’s telegenic.
And they didn’t call her “Sarah Barracuda” in high edifice sport for nothing:
To Alaskans – both allies and adversaries – wife Palin, 44, is known as “Sarah Barracuda,” a soubriquet that goes backwards to her days as an battleful sport player. Noted the metropolis Daily News in an Oct. 23, 2006 strikingness : “Supporters study the study a testament to her battleful endeavor and ferocious defense. But opponents said the study captures a offensive instinct that Palin could turn on friend as well as foe.” … (Business Week August 29, 2008)
When the folks in fishing communities soubriquet somebody “barracuda” they belike ain’t just whistling “Dixie.”
Courage.
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cross-posted from his vorpal sword
Tags: Barracuda, Boys Locker Room, Buchanans, Cold Reading, Fact Of Life, Governor Of Alaska, Gravitas, Joe Scarborough, Lawrence O Donnell, MSNBC, Palin, Paris Hilton, Pinup Calendar, Political Fact, Qualifications Of A President, Ribbing, Saturday Night Live, Screencap, Wasilla
Source: feeds.feedburner.com
Who’s Going To Bail The Taxpayer Out?
Who’s going to acquire his assets. When the government runs discover of money after helping every greedy consort in America, then who is going to recognizance the taxpayer out? This appeal for a bailout of the financial markets, by the fed is not unfounded. They are in trouble, but how did they get there, no digit […]
Source: feeds.feedburner.com
Tags: god and politics, politics in south africa, constructivism theory and politics, extraterrestrial politics, korn politics